Damage to Congress is possible, AAP emphasis on peoples, BJP seems strong in cities, Akali Dal may surprise. Elections to the Punjab Assembly 2022 vs AAP BJP Congress; Navjot Sidhu, Bikram Singh Majithia, Amarinder Singh | Punjab Chunav Ground Report

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Amritsar4 months ago

In the Punjab assembly elections, political parties tried to seduce voters, but this time voters are seen in a shocking mood. Many big faces will have a big setback in this election. This time the most important role will be that of the silent voter. This voter will be the deciding factor this time. This time it is likely that the biggest loss will be the Congress party and no one but Congress itself is responsible. The congressional think tank could not decide its line and duration during the campaign.

The controversy that began with the distribution of tickets to the party continued until the last day of the campaign. The very head of the Punjab Congress, Navjot Sidhu, was caught in a very close fight with Akali leader Bikram Singh Majithia. Speaking of Captain Amarinder Singh, Patiala Urban voters are eager to give him another chance despite all the resentment. However, his margin of victory will remain low. From Akali Dal’s point of view, the party once again remembered its highest leader, Parkash Singh Badal.

The party, while downplaying its “Veer-Sukhbir” campaign theme on the last day of the election campaign, called on people to vote in favor, highlighting the development work done during Parkash Singh Badal’s tenure. Akali Dal may be surprised if the percentage of votes remains intact. However, Akali Dal may suffer the loss of Badal by not reaching the entire Punjab to campaign.

The BJP harassed the Congress-AAP

The BJP once again demonstrated its strategic skills and raised the controversial issues of Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party in such a way that both sides were caught up in it during the last days of the campaign. The way Prime Minister Narendra Modi surrounded Congress in his Abohar demonstration on the “UP Bhaiya controversy,” the party could not even find a break until the end of the campaign. In the last three days of the campaign, the BJP seemed to be strengthening in the cities.

2017 shouldn’t be like with Kejriwal

On the other hand, in the initial phase of the campaign, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) seemed to be lacking to maintain its speed. There were 2 big reasons for this. First: a video of Kumar Vish appeared, in which he accused Arvind Kejriwal of being pro-Khalistan. Second, on behalf of the banned separatist organization Sikh for Justice (SFJ), a letter calling for a vote by the AAP.

The Hindu voter has also split from the AAP and United Kisan Morcha is also playing the role of “vote katwa” for the AAP. The biggest advantage of the AAP is the desire for change in the voter’s mind. In fact, the Punjab voter wants to go to the third option instead of Congress-Akali Dal, who has been enjoying the pleasures of power for 70 years, and the AAP fits into that strip. In the 2017 elections there was also an air of the Aam Aadmi Party in the Punjab, which the party could not maintain in the last two days after the explosion in Maur Mandi.

AAP wind at Malwa, box advantage for Akalis

Malwa holds 69 of the 117 seats in the Punjab Legislative Assembly. Congress won 40 seats here in 2017, but this time the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) looks better here. In 2017, Congress had won 7 of 8 seats in Patiala, but this time it is seen fighting in just two or three seats. Congress, which won all four Ferozepur seats in the last election, is seen in a contest in a seat here this time.

Like the previous elections, the AAP is ahead in the three seats of Barnala. Charanjit Singh Channi is also caught in a tough competition in the Bhadaur seat of Barnala. There is a triangular contest in 25 of the 49 seats in Ludhiana, Faridkot, Sangrur, Moga, Bathinda, Muktsar, Mohali, Fazilka, Ropar, Malerkotla, Fatehgarh Sahib and Mansa districts. There is a face-to-face competition in 15 seats, while a four-corner competition is visible in 9 seats.

Of the 69 seats in Malwa, the AAP leads from 20 to 25, Congress from 12 to 18, Akali Dal from 12 to 19 and BJP and its allies from 3 to 7 seats. Akali Dal will get the benefit of his painting in Malwa. Farmers contesting elections under the Samyukta Samaj Morcha flag can influence between 20 and 25 seats here. Regardless of the votes farmers take, it will be a direct loss to the AAP and Congress.

Bastion of Congress in Majha, the situation of the BJP-Akali improved

Congress won 22 of Majha’s 25 seats in the 2017 election, but this time the AAP is hurting its stronghold. Here there are 21 seats in Pathankot, Gurdaspur and Amritsar districts and the BJP looks strong in 5 to 7 seats. In 2017, Akali Dal had only won two seats in Majha. This time, Akali Dal looks strong in 7 to 9 seats in Gurdaspur, Amritsar and Tarn Taran districts. In Majha too, this time the voter wants a “change” as Malwa and the AAP can get their benefit here.

There is no significant impact on farmers running in elections in this area. Amritsar East, which has become the hottest seat in the Punjab, is also located in Majha, where the head of the Punjab Congress, Navjot Sidhu, and the Bikram Majithia of Akali Dal face off. Both leaders have not lost any election so far and this time neither of them will face the first defeat of their political life.

Congress seats will decrease in Doaba, the rest will increase.

There are 23 seats in the Punjab Legislative Assembly in Doaba and there is resentment among voters towards Congress. Congress, which won 15 of the 23 seats here in 2017, can be reduced to a single digit this time. In the last election, the BJP won only one seat and Akalis won 5 seats. This time in Doaba, except the Congress, there is the possibility of increasing the seats of all other parties. Here is an underground stream regarding the Aam Aadmi match.

In Jalandhar city, Manoranjan Kalia, KD Bhandari and Mohinder Bhagat are in the BJP fight. Vijay Sampla fights Phagwara, but faces competition from the BSP candidate. At Nawanshahr’s seat, Congress had cut off the ticket from its incumbent MP Angad Singh. Angad Singh has come forward as an independent and Congress is suffering for that. Like in 2017, Akali Dal is likely to get 5-6 seats in Doaba this time as well.

Lack of experience in election management is the weak point of the AAP

If we talk about the whole Punjab, then the strongest picture here is of Akali Dal. The Congressional cadre and the BJP are also present on the ground. Aam Aadmi Party is behind. The AAP has passionate voters and volunteers, but has no team or manpower to manage the elections on the ground. This weakness can weigh heavily on the match. Apart from this, it is also seen that the Hindu voter is moving away from the AAP.

Discussion of the broom in the villages, BJP becomes stronger in the cities

The Aam Aadmi party has a strong appearance in the rural areas of the Punjab. Rural voters in the state may be less educated, but they are politically conscious. This time he talks about sweeping the broom while talking about change. If we talk about the condition of the Dalits, then it is better than the states like Bihar, UP, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra and the thinking of this community is a bit developed from the Dalits of other states. He uses his vote more wisely.

In the last 4-5 days of campaigning in the Punjab, the BJP chart has risen slightly. Especially in 4 days, the way Prime Minister Narendra Modi, surrounded the opposition parties and interacted with the voters by holding three rallies, the party leaders and the workers have cheered. If BJP is able to keep its voting bank safe in urban areas, then it can reap the benefit of the vote division.

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