BJP rule will continue till 2039, no party will be able to compete, AAP will be able to make a mess of Congress vote bank.

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will easily capture power in 2024 and 2029 general elections and will not be able to compete with any party in the country till 2039. Though comprehensive development work is being done in the country under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he has also said that the country should be built, that is, to make a strong India that is self-sufficient in all fields. . Work in this direction is also progressing rapidly. In the defense sector, where it was being built in India, now the country has raised flags and this time on the occasion of Independence Day, for the first time after independence, it saluted with weapons made in India Similarly, PM Modi is asking the public that we must give up the mindset of even a part of slavery. Prime Minister Modi has been tasked with correcting India’s history crafted by the British monarchy and instilling in future generations a sense of nationalism and pride in India that people are connecting with. Prime Minister Modi works to connect Indians through mythological sources and also fills them with pride in their culture and civilization.

Currently, no party is seen giving competition to the BJP in the Indian political scene. After CBI raids on Deputy Chief Minister Manish Sisodia and other places over the liquor policy in Delhi, AAP leader Sanjay Singh said there will be a fight between BJP and AAP in the elections in 2024. But if we look at the vote share, AAP is nowhere ahead of BJP. Rather, AAP will affect the Congress vote bank and only benefit the BJP instead of harming it. The vote share of the parties in 2019 was as follows: BJP: 37.5%, Congress: 19.4%, AAP: 0.44%. Check out the chart above for the last 10 years.

AAP has not been able to make a dent in the BJP vote bank. It has only affected the vote of Congress. Congress is BJP’s closest rival at the moment. In 2019, 62% people voted against BJP. While the BJP has maintained its vote bank of 38 percent, the majority of opposition votes have shifted to one party.

Now if we assume that the one party to which the majority of opposition votes have shifted can challenge the BJP and the vote share is as follows: BJP: 37.5%, Congress: 19.5%, Others: 43% (TMC, BSP, SP). , AAP, NCP, DMK, etc.). Now suppose if 21% of others votes go to Congress then Congress can defeat BJP. But the actual situation is the opposite, that is, the rest of the parties worsen the vote share of the Congress and that is the reason why the situation of the Congress is worse than before.

Now suppose in 2029, AAP does wonders and reaches 10% votes, then what will be the situation. In 2029, if the party situation continues like this, the road will be easier for the BJP. Party vote share: BJP 37.5%, Congress 10%, AAP 10%. Meaning, if you increase your vote share by hurting the Congress, it will only benefit the BJP.

The AAP will be in a position to challenge the BJP only if it captures the entire vote share of the Congress, which seems unlikely before 2039 or 2034. In the second situation, the AAP can only challenge the BJP if it fails to the BJP’s Hindu vote and that doesn’t seem to be happening at the moment either.

If we look at the elections held in Uttarakhand, the Aam Aadmi Party has somehow helped the BJP to win there. Here’s a look at the vote share: BJP 44.3%, Congress 37.9%, AAP 3.3%. From this perspective, it can be easily understood that in the upcoming assembly elections to be held in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh, AAP will help BJP by reducing Congress votes.

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