Modi or Kejriwal Who Will Rahul Gandhi Fight In Gujarat Assembly Elections?

Ahmedabad: Assembly elections are due in Gujarat later this year. This time also a fierce fight is expected between the number one party BJP and Congress. But now there is also a third player on the field. Aam Aadmi Party. Whoever claims that the fight in the state is between AAP and BJP, Congress is not in the picture. But is it so? Will Rahul Gandhi’s fight then be with Modi or Kejriwal? Before the elections, the Congress is also preparing to enter the electoral mode. That is why today Rahul Gandhi will address a booth-level rally of party workers and attend a prayer meeting at Sabarmati Ashram. Overall, political pundits say that the BJP and the Congress may face tough competition from the Aam Aadmi Party in the elections. But will Congress be able to repeat the performance of 2017?

Who is Rahul fighting…Modi or Kejriwal?
It is almost certain that the Bharatiya Janata Party wants to win the Gujarat assembly elections this time too with the help of Modi magic. This means that the face will be Modi’s only. BJP is not ready to take any risk like in 2017. It is believed that if Prime Minister Narendra Modi had not taken charge of the campaign in the last round of 2017 assembly elections, BJP might not have formed the government again. So, this time the BJP high command is not ready to take any risk like in 2017 and several months before the elections, the BJP high command has taken the front.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Union Home Minister Amit Shah are constantly holding meetings from Delhi to Gujarat to discuss election strategy, visit Gujarat and organize rallies, programs and shows. At the same time, party national president JP Nadda and national organization general secretary BL Santosh are also trying to finalize the strategy by taking a decision only after an in-depth discussion on the finer points about the strategy for Gujarat Assembly elections.

Gujarat Assembly Elections: Why is the Patidar community in Gujarat so much talked about? BJP, Congress, AAP’s eyes, they understand the complete math
This time, the BJP has set a target of winning 150 out of the total 182 assembly seats. However, the BJP, which has been winning elections in the state continuously since 1995, has never won more than 127 seats. In the five consecutive assembly elections of 1995, 1998, 2002, 2007 and 2012, the BJP has been forming the government by winning between 115 and 127 seats out of the total 182 assembly seats in the state, but in 2017 after Modi became the number one. minister in 2014. In the Vidhan Sabha elections, the BJP got less than 100. In 2017, the BJP could win only 99 seats. So, BJP is not willing to take any risk this time.

For whom will the Aam Aadmi Party become a threat?
The Aam Aadmi Party is expected to put up a big show this time and its presence is visible in the electoral environment just six months before the elections. His social media campaign is very effective in building the image of the party among the masses and this time he would like to get at least double digit seats. Political analyst Hari Desai says he is not a threat to the Congress or the BJP.

Desai believes the initial perception has been that AAP will sabotage the Congress’s prospects, but the way AAP has promised free electricity and stipends to the youth, it can only impress urban voters. If this happens, it will hurt BJP. In Gujarat, neither of the two national parties, the BJP and the Congress, are in any mood to forge an alliance with any other national or regional party. BTP has already indicated an alliance with AAP.

Political analyst Dilip Gohil believes there will be a triangular contest, but it will not happen in all seats. It will depend on how serious and influential you are with the candidates. He says that AAP recently announced the names of 10 candidates, out of which only three candidates can contest from BJP or Congress candidates, the rest are completely new faces.

Gohil says BJP has started taking AAP as a serious threat and if AAP’s ‘free facilities’ formula works, it could prove to be a big challenge for both the national parties. Figures from the Electoral Commission show that the presence of third parties in elections has always hurt the Congress vote bank. In 2012, the Gujarat Parivartan Party led by late former minister Keshubhai Patel had defeated the BJP in eight seats and the Congress in five.

Gujarat Elections 2022: BJP’s best 127, eyeing ‘South Fort’ of Dahod, will Modi cross 150 this time?
The Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which recently won the Punjab elections, may also play a role in the Gujarat elections. Desai said the BJP is also worried about the Aam Aadmi Party. They fear that the AAP will not only cut into the opposition votes but may also attract BJP voters.

Rahul is in danger from you!
In Gujarat, the eyes of the Aam Aadmi Party are on the fight for number 2. It is trying to get at least that many seats in the Gujarat elections to get the status of the main opposition party. For this, he will have to get more seats than the Congress. This is the reason why the Aam Aadmi Party is reaching out to the Patel community of Gujarat, the farming community, the angry business class and the migrants from UP-Bihar to Gujarat. The party hopes that this section can be useful to them.

Why speculate on your presence?
In fact, since the municipal elections held last year, the Aam Aadmi Party has posed a threat to the state. In the 2021 Gujarat municipal elections, AAP won 27 of the 120 seats in the Surat Municipal Corporation. Most of these seats were in Patidar dominated areas. In contrast, the Congress was soundly defeated in the stronghold of the Patidars. Gujarat Congress president Hardik Patel also hails from this Patidar community, but even the Congress account was not opened in Surat, the stronghold of this society.

The confidence of the Aam Aadmi Party in Gujarat has increased with the results of the municipal elections. The party feels that the Congress has not been able to give a tough fight to the BJP in Gujarat for a long time and this has left the voters disappointed. In this situation, Aam Aadmi Party is trying to become the third choice among the people.

Leave a Comment